Conjecture, misinformation, and fake news.

Stephen Paddock, the suspect in the Las Vegas shooting, in an undated Facebook photo. Image via Facebook

“Five Glaring Inconsistencies in the Vegas Shooting that Need to be Addressed” – Free Thought Project

Okay people I’m one that questions everything possible – fact is I’ve been labeled a conspiracy theorist before – notwithstanding I try to remain open minded. What this article is purporting is nothing but conjecture based on the writers opinion.

In my opinion this is click bait, which further fuels hysteria, moreover misinformation. Which is becoming a huge problem in today’s connected world. I’ll digress on entertaining a diatribe on the ramifications and instead dive into the article and explain why I feel the conjecture is dangerous.

The article is written by Matt Agorist, someone I do not know to make a personal opinion on. My intentions are not to disparage the writer, moreover it’s too point out how interpretation can be a dangerous thing – in our current political climate – a la Russia meddling in our elections…

“Throughout history, there have been well-documented and factual occurrences of governments carrying staged events to manipulate the public into passing a law, accepting a war, or any other means of implementing control. These acts have been admitted to by the state, and are 100 percent real. They happen so often that they have their own term—false flag.

There is a fine line to walk, however, between questioning everything and automatically assuming everything is a government conspiracy or false flag. Those who immediately claim every violent tragedy or event is a false flag often do more damage to the fight for truth than those who blindly accept everything their government tells them as the truth.

Every time an event happens it is important to keep an open mind, look for inconsistencies, try to find contradictions or impossibilities made to look possible, and always avoid jumping to conclusions.

Given the current information that has been released so far in the tragic shooting in Las Vegas, it appears that most everything we’ve been told so far is true and many of the inconsistencies appear to have come up from the mass hysteria and confusion surrounding such a violent and tragic event.”

I couldn’t agree more with the aforementioned statement. Caveat there are a few subtle hints that give it away and make this nothing short of pure conjecture. Let’s start with the first giveaway;

“Every time an event happens it is important to keep an open mind, look for inconsistencies..”

Inconsistencies are a slippery slope that can lead us down a rabbit hole. There may be some inconsistencies, fact there could be a lot. This does not mean the facts are distorted and we are being lied too.

There is a lot we don’t know or will ever know about the reasons behind this tragedy. Killer is dead, so we are only left to assume, until further details are released. We cannot start jumping into conclusions based on assumptions, period. The writer goes on to say “it appears that most everything we’ve been told so far is true.”

Another subtle hint on whats to come, which again is conjecture. Just in case you are wondering, here is the definition of the word which I will continue to use;




1. Opinion or judgment based on inconclusive or incomplete evidence; guesswork.
2. An opinion or conclusion based on guesswork: The commentators made various conjectures about the outcome of the next election.
Let’s move on and digest his commentary on the inconsistencies he list.


 “Stephen Paddock did not fit the bill for a mass murderer.”

Every time there is a mass murder, neighbors, family, friends, cats, dogs, abuelas, nannies, all come out in shock and disbelief. No one can believe their family member would do such a thing. This was the case with Ted Kaczynski, Ted Bundy, Terry Nichols, David Berkowitz, or Jeffrey Dahmer. Fact is, no one really knows why someone snaps and decides to kill. This is why the FBI studies and profiles people. One thing is for sure, serial killers are predominantly “white males.”

“Paddock was still playing with his girlfriend’s casino card trying to rack up points the night of the shooting.”

So according to his brother he loved to gamble and was a regular at Vegas. I think we can assume he wanted to leave his girlfriend with some money. I think that makes more sense than “Oh god he was playing poker, and winning doesn’t make sense.” People wake the fuck up, none of this makes sense, that’s why its called a “senseless” crime.

“Surveillance footage of Paddock inside the hotel has yet to be released”

It’s an active investigation, fact is most of the time video is released because it is leaked. Furthermore what good does it serve to release video of him walking around the Casino playing poker? I’m hard-press to think that’s going to lead to the reason why Paddock did what he did. Too soon to even try to assume why the video has not been released. Let alone assume it’s some sort of cover up from the government.

“Neither room service, house cleaning, surveillance footage, nor security saw him bring hundreds of pounds of guns and ammo into the room”

This I will agree with, it is odd that no-one saw or if they did, let alone suspect something was up. Problem is too many people mind their own business. So even if someone saw something weird, it’s rare that they would have even said anything. How often do people miss the signs?

Monday morning quarterback serves no purpose. This will be a valuable lesson for hotel security not just in Vegas, but all over the world. Let this also serve as a lesson to those who did see something and never said anything. We must be vigilant, especially when seeing something highly suspicious.

“If Paddock acted alone, who was this mystery woman who warned everyone they were going to die 45 minutes before the shooting?”

I’ve been to Vegas plenty of times and I can say without a doubt, there are plenty of crazies walking around, especially condemning the “heathens;” it is “Sin City” so rest assured you have a high probability of someone telling you while visiting Vegas – “You’re all going to die.”

This man planned this, it wasn’t a spur of the moment thing. He was an accountant by trade, so rest assured that just about everything this man did was “calculated.” I don’t believe he would have risked letting anyone know before hand, but that’s just an assumption.

Maybe he did slip and tell someone, let’s find this woman, because she is implicit. Instead of notifying the authorities she took it upon herself to warn people? If she really wanted to save people she would have alerted the police and save plenty of lives. Let’s not forget this is Vegas, this was a concert, there was alcohol involved. Highly likely if there was a women she was under the influence, but again that is pure conjecture.

Last but not lease he ends the article with the following.

“While all these questions and inconsistencies could soon be answered or laid to rest by authorities, no mainstream media outlets are asking them.”

So he admits, there are inconsistencies and adds fuel to the fire by adding that the “mainstream media” isn’t asking these questions. Well that’s simple, what they choose to cover or not cover, does not mean it has any merit, or worse make them complicit. Assuming something is not being asked is conjecture, moreover “correlation does not equal causation.”

Hope this helps clear things up. I believe it’s imperative we continue to question things, so I agree wholeheartedly with the writer on that, but to pass on conjecture which only spreads misinformation, further excites hysteria which is a disservice to society. Especially in the information age.

Carpe Diem!


About Carlos Barberena
Just a guy trying to contribute to society.

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